File Your Company’s IEEPA (Reciprocal Tariffs) Lawsuit Today to Protect Refund Rights and Court Relief

Following Oral Arguments at the U.S. Supreme Court in November 2025, the odds of the Trump Administration prevailing in the IEEPA (Reciprocal Tariffs) case have dropped sharply according to some sources.

Current prediction market and expert assessments (as of early November 2025):•

Polymarket: The likelihood of the Supreme Court upholding the existing tariff regime has fallen to roughly 27%, down from over 50% before oral arguments began. (Investing.com, Nov. 2025)•

Trade analysts and legal experts: Financial and legal analysts surveyed by major institutions now estimate up to an 80% probability that the Supreme Court will rule against the administration’s interpretation of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). (AOL Finance, Nov. 2025)

The case turns on whether the IEEPA, enacted in 1977 and silent on the subject of tariffs, grants the President authority to impose import duties—known as the “Reciprocal Tariffs”—in response to perceived “national emergencies” such as trade deficits. During oral arguments, justices across the ideological spectrum expressed skepticism that the statutory phrase “to regulate importation” can reasonably be stretched to authorize broad tariff powers of this kind. (SCOTUSblog, Nov. 2025)

The Supreme Court is hearing the case on an expedited basis, reflecting its economic significance. While a decision by the end of 2025 is possible, it would be ambitious. Most observers expect a ruling in early to mid-2026, though the Court could release its opinion as early as the first quarter of 2026. (PoliticoPro, Nov. 2025)

Importantly, it is not too late for importers to protect their refund rights.Companies affected by the IEEPA (Reciprocal) tariffs can still file independent actions in the U.S. Court of International Trade to preserve their right to judicial relief and potential refunds if the tariffs are struck down. Once an entry is liquidated and becomes final, CBP is unlikely to issue refunds absent a direct court order.

This action would be filed on a prospective basis, without waiting for an entry to be liquidated or a protest to be denied. By filing now, your company would remain within the class of importers entitled to direct relief if the tariffs are ultimately invalidated—avoiding the need for a lengthy, post-decision administrative process.

I am licensed to practice before the U.S. Court of International Trade and currently represent importers in these actions.If your company has been impacted by the IEEPA (Reciprocal) tariffs and seeks to safeguard its rights, now is the time to act.

Contact our office. We are currently advising importers on active IEEPA litigation strategies.

Arrange a complimentary consultation using our convenient scheduling portal or reach us anytime at (954) 451-0792 or vinicius@vadamlaw.com.